Traders' overwhelming 94.5% implied probability for NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster June IPO—potentially valued at $1.75–2 trillion—and its explicit pursuit of early Nasdaq 100 index inclusion. NASDAQ's rule change, effective May 1, fast-tracks megacap listings like SpaceX into the index after just 15 trading days, versus longer timelines elsewhere, promising swift passive fund inflows and mirroring Tesla's NASDAQ home. This skin-in-the-game consensus stems from Reuters and Bloomberg reports on SpaceX's preferences, with NYSE trailing due to lacking such incentives. A realistic challenge would require NYSE countermeasures or SpaceX strategy shifts before the late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNASDAQ 95%
Other 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 Vol.
$92,311 Vol.
NASDAQ
95%
Other
5%
NYSE
<1%
NASDAQ 95%
Other 5.5%
NYSE <1%
$92,311 Vol.
$92,311 Vol.
NASDAQ
$17,897 Vol.
95%
Other
$57,172 Vol.
5%
NYSE
$17,242 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 94.5% implied probability for NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster June IPO—potentially valued at $1.75–2 trillion—and its explicit pursuit of early Nasdaq 100 index inclusion. NASDAQ's rule change, effective May 1, fast-tracks megacap listings like SpaceX into the index after just 15 trading days, versus longer timelines elsewhere, promising swift passive fund inflows and mirroring Tesla's NASDAQ home. This skin-in-the-game consensus stems from Reuters and Bloomberg reports on SpaceX's preferences, with NYSE trailing due to lacking such incentives. A realistic challenge would require NYSE countermeasures or SpaceX strategy shifts before the late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$92,311Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 94.5% implied probability for NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster June IPO—potentially valued at $1.75–2 trillion—and its explicit pursuit of early Nasdaq 100 index inclusion. NASDAQ's rule change, effective May 1, fast-tracks megacap listings like SpaceX into the index after just 15 trading days, versus longer timelines elsewhere, promising swift passive fund inflows and mirroring Tesla's NASDAQ home. This skin-in-the-game consensus stems from Reuters and Bloomberg reports on SpaceX's preferences, with NYSE trailing due to lacking such incentives. A realistic challenge would require NYSE countermeasures or SpaceX strategy shifts before the late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$92,311Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' overwhelming 94.5% implied probability for NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a blockbuster June IPO—potentially valued at $1.75–2 trillion—and its explicit pursuit of early Nasdaq 100 index inclusion. NASDAQ's rule change, effective May 1, fast-tracks megacap listings like SpaceX into the index after just 15 trading days, versus longer timelines elsewhere, promising swift passive fund inflows and mirroring Tesla's NASDAQ home. This skin-in-the-game consensus stems from Reuters and Bloomberg reports on SpaceX's preferences, with NYSE trailing due to lacking such incentives. A realistic challenge would require NYSE countermeasures or SpaceX strategy shifts before the late-May public filing and mid-June pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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