OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$11,553 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Hodge Conjecture
35%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
30%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
27%
Beal's Conjecture
19%
Collatz Conjecture
16%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
15%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
15%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
14%
Yang-Mills
12%
Twin Prime Conjecture
12%
Odd Perfect Number
11%
Riemann Hypothesis
10%
Legendre's Conjecture
4%
P versus NP
3%
$11,553 Vol.
Hodge Conjecture
$2,211 Vol.
35%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
$1,980 Vol.
30%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
$189 Vol.
27%
Beal's Conjecture
$250 Vol.
19%
Collatz Conjecture
$498 Vol.
16%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
$475 Vol.
15%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
$476 Vol.
15%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
$395 Vol.
14%
Yang-Mills
$200 Vol.
12%
Twin Prime Conjecture
$284 Vol.
12%
Odd Perfect Number
$1,103 Vol.
11%
Riemann Hypothesis
$1,394 Vol.
10%
Legendre's Conjecture
$1,105 Vol.
4%
P versus NP
$993 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$11,553Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,553Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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