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icon for Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Politik·Angkatan Darat

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

icon for Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Politik·Angkatan Darat

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Adam Telle 46%

W. Jordan Gillis 40%

Sean Parnell 30%

Michael Obadal 24%

Polymarket
BARU

Adam Telle 46%

W. Jordan Gillis 40%

Sean Parnell 30%

Michael Obadal 24%

Polymarket
BARU

Adam Telle

$0 Vol.

46%

W. Jordan Gillis

$0 Vol.

40%

Sean Parnell

$0 Vol.

40%

Michael Obadal

$0 Vol.

24%

Brent Ingraham

$0 Vol.

14%

Marc Andersen

$0 Vol.

14%

Brian Mast

$0 Vol.

13%

Charles Young III

$0 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has created a leadership vacuum, with Trump naming Adam Telle acting secretary in early September while the White House weighs permanent options. Trader odds remain tightly clustered among Telle, Sean Parnell (Hegseth’s favored Pentagon spokesperson and Army veteran), Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and others because internal administration factions, Senate confirmation hurdles, and the acting role’s uncertain path to nomination keep outcomes fluid. No single candidate has consolidated support, and upcoming nomination decisions or congressional dynamics could shift probabilities before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2029
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll amid reported tensions with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has created a leadership vacuum, with Trump naming Adam Telle acting secretary in early September while the White House weighs permanent options. Trader odds remain tightly clustered among Telle, Sean Parnell (Hegseth’s favored Pentagon spokesperson and Army veteran), Michael Obadal, Marc Andersen, and others because internal administration factions, Senate confirmation hurdles, and the acting role’s uncertain path to nomination keep outcomes fluid. No single candidate has consolidated support, and upcoming nomination decisions or congressional dynamics could shift probabilities before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.

A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.

If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 19, 2029
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Adam Telle" di 46%, diikuti oleh "W. Jordan Gillis" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 46¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 46% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 15, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" adalah "Adam Telle" di 46%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 46% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "W. Jordan Gillis" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.