Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel-Iran war—sparked by February 28 airstrikes assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites and missile facilities—trader consensus reflects slim odds for US lawmakers, nominees like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth, or Israeli leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu entering Iran by June 30, driven by acute security risks and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. US special forces' early April rescue of a downed pilot marked a brief incursion, echoed by Iraqi PMF forces crossing in, but no political visits have occurred. Recent US deployments of thousands more troops to counter Iran, alongside stalled uranium recovery talks President Trump proposed, underscore military pressure over access. Potential Israel-Lebanon negotiations or Strait of Hormuz de-escalation could shift dynamics, though regime instability persists.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$332,867 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Any U.S. House member
8%
Marco Rubio
7%
JD Vance
7%
Any U.S. Senator
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Jared Kushner
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
2%
$332,867 Vol.
Any U.S. House member
$67,803 Vol.
8%
Marco Rubio
$16,521 Vol.
7%
JD Vance
$21,387 Vol.
7%
Any U.S. Senator
$27,905 Vol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$84,588 Vol.
4%
Jared Kushner
$12,772 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$63,260 Vol.
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$38,629 Vol.
2%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel-Iran war—sparked by February 28 airstrikes assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites and missile facilities—trader consensus reflects slim odds for US lawmakers, nominees like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth, or Israeli leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu entering Iran by June 30, driven by acute security risks and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. US special forces' early April rescue of a downed pilot marked a brief incursion, echoed by Iraqi PMF forces crossing in, but no political visits have occurred. Recent US deployments of thousands more troops to counter Iran, alongside stalled uranium recovery talks President Trump proposed, underscore military pressure over access. Potential Israel-Lebanon negotiations or Strait of Hormuz de-escalation could shift dynamics, though regime instability persists.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$332,867Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel-Iran war—sparked by February 28 airstrikes assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites and missile facilities—trader consensus reflects slim odds for US lawmakers, nominees like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth, or Israeli leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu entering Iran by June 30, driven by acute security risks and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. US special forces' early April rescue of a downed pilot marked a brief incursion, echoed by Iraqi PMF forces crossing in, but no political visits have occurred. Recent US deployments of thousands more troops to counter Iran, alongside stalled uranium recovery talks President Trump proposed, underscore military pressure over access. Potential Israel-Lebanon negotiations or Strait of Hormuz de-escalation could shift dynamics, though regime instability persists.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$332,867Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel-Iran war—sparked by February 28 airstrikes assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites and missile facilities—trader consensus reflects slim odds for US lawmakers, nominees like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth, or Israeli leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu entering Iran by June 30, driven by acute security risks and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. US special forces' early April rescue of a downed pilot marked a brief incursion, echoed by Iraqi PMF forces crossing in, but no political visits have occurred. Recent US deployments of thousands more troops to counter Iran, alongside stalled uranium recovery talks President Trump proposed, underscore military pressure over access. Potential Israel-Lebanon negotiations or Strait of Hormuz de-escalation could shift dynamics, though regime instability persists.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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