Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and elite party ranks, with multiple Central Military Commission members removed in 2026 after investigations for disciplinary violations. August announcements confirmed the ousters of senior vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, while longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost parliamentary posts; earlier removals included Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July and prior figures such as He Weidong. These moves have left the CMC heavily depleted, prompting an ideological rectification program launched in April and new promotions to rebuild command structures ahead of the Fifth Plenum in October. Traders assess further high-level removals or shifts in 2026 against this pattern of sustained purges and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$211,171 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
11%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Zhao Leji
6%
Cai Qi
5%
Wang Huning
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Xi
1%
Li Qiang
1%
$211,171 Vol.
Dong Jun
$39,759 Vol.
11%
Zhang Shengmin
$30,008 Vol.
7%
Zhao Leji
$11,674 Vol.
6%
Cai Qi
$49,413 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$12,100 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,215 Vol.
4%
Wang Yi
$15,739 Vol.
2%
Li Xi
$29,232 Vol.
1%
Li Qiang
$7,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and elite party ranks, with multiple Central Military Commission members removed in 2026 after investigations for disciplinary violations. August announcements confirmed the ousters of senior vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, while longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost parliamentary posts; earlier removals included Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July and prior figures such as He Weidong. These moves have left the CMC heavily depleted, prompting an ideological rectification program launched in April and new promotions to rebuild command structures ahead of the Fifth Plenum in October. Traders assess further high-level removals or shifts in 2026 against this pattern of sustained purges and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$211,171Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and elite party ranks, with multiple Central Military Commission members removed in 2026 after investigations for disciplinary violations. August announcements confirmed the ousters of senior vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, while longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost parliamentary posts; earlier removals included Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July and prior figures such as He Weidong. These moves have left the CMC heavily depleted, prompting an ideological rectification program launched in April and new promotions to rebuild command structures ahead of the Fifth Plenum in October. Traders assess further high-level removals or shifts in 2026 against this pattern of sustained purges and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$211,171Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign has driven extensive leadership turnover in the People’s Liberation Army and elite party ranks, with multiple Central Military Commission members removed in 2026 after investigations for disciplinary violations. August announcements confirmed the ousters of senior vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff chief Liu Zhenli, while longtime aide Zhong Shaojun lost parliamentary posts; earlier removals included Politburo member Ma Xingrui in July and prior figures such as He Weidong. These moves have left the CMC heavily depleted, prompting an ideological rectification program launched in April and new promotions to rebuild command structures ahead of the Fifth Plenum in October. Traders assess further high-level removals or shifts in 2026 against this pattern of sustained purges and preparations for the 2027 Party Congress.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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