Traders assign a 98.7% implied probability to no divorce before 2027 due to the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating marital strain between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. Official Chinese state media continue to document Peng Liyuan’s public activities alongside Xi, including her participation in spouses’ events at the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint diplomatic appearances. Chinese Communist Party norms tightly control information on senior leaders’ personal lives, and the emphasis on family harmony as part of broader social stability messaging reinforces the standing narrative. Historical precedent shows no recent public indications of separation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen official announcement, a major health event, or an internal political development that surfaces credible reporting before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1% peluang
$109,833 Vol.
$109,833 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1% peluang
$109,833 Vol.
$109,833 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.7% implied probability to no divorce before 2027 due to the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating marital strain between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. Official Chinese state media continue to document Peng Liyuan’s public activities alongside Xi, including her participation in spouses’ events at the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint diplomatic appearances. Chinese Communist Party norms tightly control information on senior leaders’ personal lives, and the emphasis on family harmony as part of broader social stability messaging reinforces the standing narrative. Historical precedent shows no recent public indications of separation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen official announcement, a major health event, or an internal political development that surfaces credible reporting before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$109,833Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.7% implied probability to no divorce before 2027 due to the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating marital strain between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. Official Chinese state media continue to document Peng Liyuan’s public activities alongside Xi, including her participation in spouses’ events at the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint diplomatic appearances. Chinese Communist Party norms tightly control information on senior leaders’ personal lives, and the emphasis on family harmony as part of broader social stability messaging reinforces the standing narrative. Historical precedent shows no recent public indications of separation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen official announcement, a major health event, or an internal political development that surfaces credible reporting before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$109,833Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.7% implied probability to no divorce before 2027 due to the complete absence of verifiable developments indicating marital strain between Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan. Official Chinese state media continue to document Peng Liyuan’s public activities alongside Xi, including her participation in spouses’ events at the September 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit and earlier joint diplomatic appearances. Chinese Communist Party norms tightly control information on senior leaders’ personal lives, and the emphasis on family harmony as part of broader social stability messaging reinforces the standing narrative. Historical precedent shows no recent public indications of separation. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes remain limited to an unforeseen official announcement, a major health event, or an internal political development that surfaces credible reporting before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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