Russian forces continue incremental advances in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast near the former Kakhovka Reservoir, where Prymorske sits as a tactical village northwest of Orikhiv. Ukrainian counterattacks earlier in 2026 expelled Russian units from the settlement and adjacent areas such as Stepnohirsk, restoring Ukrainian control after prior Russian probes. Recent Russian summer operations have yielded control of 19 settlements across Zaporizhzhia and neighboring Dnipropetrovsk regions, supported by drone strikes, artillery, and small-unit infantry pressure along axes toward Zaporizhzhia city. Ukrainian forces have responded with localized counteroffensives, drone interdiction of logistics, and defensive fortifications that have slowed but not halted Russian momentum in the sector. Key variables include the intensity of Russian Eastern Grouping operations, Ukrainian reinforcement availability, and any shifts in long-range strikes affecting supply lines. No major scheduled diplomatic or battlefield events are fixed within typical short-term resolution windows for such markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Russia capture Prymorske by...?
$88,370 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
18%
$88,370 Vol.
September 30
3%
December 31
18%
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental advances in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast near the former Kakhovka Reservoir, where Prymorske sits as a tactical village northwest of Orikhiv. Ukrainian counterattacks earlier in 2026 expelled Russian units from the settlement and adjacent areas such as Stepnohirsk, restoring Ukrainian control after prior Russian probes. Recent Russian summer operations have yielded control of 19 settlements across Zaporizhzhia and neighboring Dnipropetrovsk regions, supported by drone strikes, artillery, and small-unit infantry pressure along axes toward Zaporizhzhia city. Ukrainian forces have responded with localized counteroffensives, drone interdiction of logistics, and defensive fortifications that have slowed but not halted Russian momentum in the sector. Key variables include the intensity of Russian Eastern Grouping operations, Ukrainian reinforcement availability, and any shifts in long-range strikes affecting supply lines. No major scheduled diplomatic or battlefield events are fixed within typical short-term resolution windows for such markets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan