Jannik Sinner holds a razor-thin edge in trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability over Carlos Alcaraz's 34.5% for the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner, driven by Sinner's straight-sets Monte Carlo Masters final triumph over Alcaraz last week, reclaiming the ATP No. 1 ranking after both logged dominant starts to the year—Sinner 20-2 including the Miami title, Alcaraz 21-3 highlighted by his Australian Open crown where he ousted Djokovic to complete the career Grand Slam. Alcaraz's fresh right wrist injury forcing a Barcelona withdrawal tempers enthusiasm despite his grass-court prowess, while Djokovic trails at 6.1% following hard-court inconsistencies like an Indian Wells round-of-16 exit, keeping the top-two showdown fiercely competitive ahead of the grass swing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 36%
Carlos Alcaraz 35%
Novak Djokovic 6.3%
Taylor Fritz 2.7%
$3,929,741 Vol.
$3,929,741 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
36%
Carlos Alcaraz
35%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Alexander Zverev
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Karen Khachanov
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Tallon Griekspoor
1%
Cameron Norrie
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Carlos Alcaraz 35%
Novak Djokovic 6.3%
Taylor Fritz 2.7%
$3,929,741 Vol.
$3,929,741 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
36%
Carlos Alcaraz
35%
Novak Djokovic
6%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Alexander Zverev
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Karen Khachanov
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
Grigor Dimitrov
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Tallon Griekspoor
1%
Cameron Norrie
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner holds a razor-thin edge in trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability over Carlos Alcaraz's 34.5% for the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner, driven by Sinner's straight-sets Monte Carlo Masters final triumph over Alcaraz last week, reclaiming the ATP No. 1 ranking after both logged dominant starts to the year—Sinner 20-2 including the Miami title, Alcaraz 21-3 highlighted by his Australian Open crown where he ousted Djokovic to complete the career Grand Slam. Alcaraz's fresh right wrist injury forcing a Barcelona withdrawal tempers enthusiasm despite his grass-court prowess, while Djokovic trails at 6.1% following hard-court inconsistencies like an Indian Wells round-of-16 exit, keeping the top-two showdown fiercely competitive ahead of the grass swing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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