Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2026 US Open, driven by her world No. 1 ranking, near-perfect 23-1 record this year, and hard-court dominance including the Miami Open title over Coco Gauff and Indian Wells final run. Elena Rybakina (16.9%) follows closely after her Australian Open major triumph and Indian Wells runner-up finish, bolstering her flat-hitting prowess on fast hard courts like Flushing Meadows. Linda Noskova's surprising 14.4% reflects breakthrough deep runs at Indian Wells (semifinals loss to Sabalenka) and recent Stuttgart clay opener win, signaling rising form despite her No. 14 ranking. Iga Swiatek lags at 10.5% amid a 12-6 start without titles, underscoring her historical hard-court vulnerabilities outside her 2022 US Open win. Emerging threats like Victoria Mboko (6.6%) add depth via Doha final and Miami quarters, making this a wide-open field with surface history, recent momentum, and draw luck as key differentiators.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAryna Sabalenka 27%
Elena Rybakina 14.4%
Linda Noskova 14.2%
Iga Swiatek 11%
$971,387 Vol.
$971,387 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Linda Noskova
14%
Iga Swiatek
11%
Coco Gauff
7%
Victoria Mboko
7%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Karolina Muchova
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Dayana Yastremska
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Elise Mertens
2%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Maya Joint
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Donna Vekic
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Marie Bouzkova
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Elena Rybakina 14.4%
Linda Noskova 14.2%
Iga Swiatek 11%
$971,387 Vol.
$971,387 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Elena Rybakina
17%
Linda Noskova
14%
Iga Swiatek
11%
Coco Gauff
7%
Victoria Mboko
7%
Jessica Pegula
4%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Karolina Muchova
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Dayana Yastremska
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Elise Mertens
2%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Maya Joint
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Donna Vekic
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Marie Bouzkova
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2026 US Open, driven by her world No. 1 ranking, near-perfect 23-1 record this year, and hard-court dominance including the Miami Open title over Coco Gauff and Indian Wells final run. Elena Rybakina (16.9%) follows closely after her Australian Open major triumph and Indian Wells runner-up finish, bolstering her flat-hitting prowess on fast hard courts like Flushing Meadows. Linda Noskova's surprising 14.4% reflects breakthrough deep runs at Indian Wells (semifinals loss to Sabalenka) and recent Stuttgart clay opener win, signaling rising form despite her No. 14 ranking. Iga Swiatek lags at 10.5% amid a 12-6 start without titles, underscoring her historical hard-court vulnerabilities outside her 2022 US Open win. Emerging threats like Victoria Mboko (6.6%) add depth via Doha final and Miami quarters, making this a wide-open field with surface history, recent momentum, and draw luck as key differentiators.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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