The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
20% probabilità
$71,482 Vol.
$71,482 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
20% probabilità
$71,482 Vol.
$71,482 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$71,482Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$71,482Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years after 2025, remains in place despite repeated repeal efforts. Bipartisan bills such as the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, plus amendments to appropriations and other measures, have been blocked in committee or failed floor consideration through mid-2026. Industry advocacy, including letters from figures tied to sports betting and Nevada lawmakers, prompted an IRS hearing in July but produced no legislative reversal. With Congress facing a compressed schedule before year-end and the original change tied to reconciliation procedures, traders assign an 81.5% probability that the cap will not be fully repealed by December 31, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti