Skip to main content
Market icon
Elezioni·Imposte

Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?

Market icon
Elezioni·Imposte

Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?

Sì

77% probabilità
Polymarket

$90,229 Vol.

Sì

77% probabilità
Polymarket

$90,229 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Supporters of the 2026 California Billionaire Tax Act, a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with over $1 billion in net worth to fund healthcare and education amid federal cuts, have collected about 25% of the required 874,641 signatures as of late February, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% odds of ballot qualification by the June 25 deadline. Union-led efforts by SEIU-UHW continue despite opposition from billionaires like Sergey Brin funding counter-initiatives and Governor Gavin Newsom's warnings of economic flight, with recent polls showing 50-55% voter support. Divisions among Democrats and labor highlight risks, but steady progress and polling strength drive optimism for the November ballot.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$90,229
Data di fine
25 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Supporters of the 2026 California Billionaire Tax Act, a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with over $1 billion in net worth to fund healthcare and education amid federal cuts, have collected about 25% of the required 874,641 signatures as of late February, fueling trader consensus at 76.5% odds of ballot qualification by the June 25 deadline. Union-led efforts by SEIU-UHW continue despite opposition from billionaires like Sergey Brin funding counter-initiatives and Governor Gavin Newsom's warnings of economic flight, with recent polls showing 50-55% voter support. Divisions among Democrats and labor highlight risks, but steady progress and polling strength drive optimism for the November ballot.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$90,229
Data di fine
25 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Tassa patrimoniale straordinaria per miliardari sulla scheda elettorale in California?" a 77%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 77¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?" ha generato $90.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 24, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?" è "Tassa patrimoniale straordinaria per miliardari sulla scheda elettorale in California?" a 77%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 77% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Tassa sul patrimonio miliardaria una tantum sulla scheda elettorale in California?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.