**Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 95.5% reflects the legislative calendar and recent policy record.** Congress enacted the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended and modified most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions without lowering the 21% corporate rate. As of August 2026, with midterms approaching in November and reconciliation priorities shifting toward health care and narrower provisions, no bill advancing a further corporate rate reduction has advanced through committee or reached the floor. The short remaining window before year-end makes new rate legislation improbable absent a major shift in congressional priorities or control. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a lame-duck session after the midterms if unified Republican government pursues additional tax relief, or an unexpected bipartisan package incorporating rate adjustments before January 1, 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 95.5% reflects the legislative calendar and recent policy record.** Congress enacted the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended and modified most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions without lowering the 21% corporate rate. As of August 2026, with midterms approaching in November and reconciliation priorities shifting toward health care and narrower provisions, no bill advancing a further corporate rate reduction has advanced through committee or reached the floor. The short remaining window before year-end makes new rate legislation improbable absent a major shift in congressional priorities or control.
Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a lame-duck session after the midterms if unified Republican government pursues additional tax relief, or an unexpected bipartisan package incorporating rate adjustments before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,959Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 95.5% reflects the legislative calendar and recent policy record.** Congress enacted the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended and modified most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions without lowering the 21% corporate rate. As of August 2026, with midterms approaching in November and reconciliation priorities shifting toward health care and narrower provisions, no bill advancing a further corporate rate reduction has advanced through committee or reached the floor. The short remaining window before year-end makes new rate legislation improbable absent a major shift in congressional priorities or control.
Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a lame-duck session after the midterms if unified Republican government pursues additional tax relief, or an unexpected bipartisan package incorporating rate adjustments before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,959Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 95.5% reflects the legislative calendar and recent policy record.** Congress enacted the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which permanently extended and modified most 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions without lowering the 21% corporate rate. As of August 2026, with midterms approaching in November and reconciliation priorities shifting toward health care and narrower provisions, no bill advancing a further corporate rate reduction has advanced through committee or reached the floor. The short remaining window before year-end makes new rate legislation improbable absent a major shift in congressional priorities or control. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a lame-duck session after the midterms if unified Republican government pursues additional tax relief, or an unexpected bipartisan package incorporating rate adjustments before January 1, 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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