Trump's signing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025 already extended and modified key business provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, locking in the 21 percent corporate rate along with permanent changes to depreciation, R&D expensing, interest deductions, and international rules that deliver substantial ongoing relief to corporations. With the 2026 legislative calendar focused on appropriations and limited remaining session time before the November midterms, no new rate reduction or major additional corporate tax legislation has advanced. Traders assign 95.5 percent probability to no further cut before 2027 because these structural extensions and the compressed timeline leave little room for another broad corporate tax package. A narrow window remains for action in a potential lame-duck session if unified Republican control persists and priorities shift, or through targeted regulatory measures, though both would require overcoming competing fiscal and political demands.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
Sì
$15,959 Vol.
$15,959 Vol.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's signing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025 already extended and modified key business provisions from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, locking in the 21 percent corporate rate along with permanent changes to depreciation, R&D expensing, interest deductions, and international rules that deliver substantial ongoing relief to corporations. With the 2026 legislative calendar focused on appropriations and limited remaining session time before the November midterms, no new rate reduction or major additional corporate tax legislation has advanced. Traders assign 95.5 percent probability to no further cut before 2027 because these structural extensions and the compressed timeline leave little room for another broad corporate tax package. A narrow window remains for action in a potential lame-duck session if unified Republican control persists and priorities shift, or through targeted regulatory measures, though both would require overcoming competing fiscal and political demands.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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