President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he does not step down after his May 15 term ends, alongside Powell's refusal to resign until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed and a DOJ criminal probe resolved, anchors trader consensus around late May to early June departures at 18-19.5%. Ongoing prosecutor visits to Fed sites and Republican calls to drop the probe heighten uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing looms as a pivotal catalyst. Bipartisan opposition to Warsh, confirmation delays, abrupt resignation, or court rulings on Fed independence could widen gaps among these tight frontrunners, with low odds before May 15 reflecting removal-for-cause barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
June 6–12 20%
May 30–June 5 18%
June 27–July 3 13%
May 15–22 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 lug 2026
Before May 15
3%
May 15–22
13%
May 23–29
7%
May 30–June 5
18%
June 6–12
20%
June 13–19
9%
June 20–26
9%
June 27–July 3
13%
After July 3
11%
June 6–12 20%
May 30–June 5 18%
June 27–July 3 13%
May 15–22 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 lug 2026
Before May 15
$794 Vol.
3%
May 15–22
$218 Vol.
13%
May 23–29
$114 Vol.
7%
May 30–June 5
$79 Vol.
18%
June 6–12
$90 Vol.
20%
June 13–19
$0 Vol.
9%
June 20–26
$61 Vol.
9%
June 27–July 3
$0 Vol.
13%
After July 3
$82 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he does not step down after his May 15 term ends, alongside Powell's refusal to resign until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed and a DOJ criminal probe resolved, anchors trader consensus around late May to early June departures at 18-19.5%. Ongoing prosecutor visits to Fed sites and Republican calls to drop the probe heighten uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing looms as a pivotal catalyst. Bipartisan opposition to Warsh, confirmation delays, abrupt resignation, or court rulings on Fed independence could widen gaps among these tight frontrunners, with low odds before May 15 reflecting removal-for-cause barriers.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$1,439Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he does not step down after his May 15 term ends, alongside Powell's refusal to resign until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed and a DOJ criminal probe resolved, anchors trader consensus around late May to early June departures at 18-19.5%. Ongoing prosecutor visits to Fed sites and Republican calls to drop the probe heighten uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing looms as a pivotal catalyst. Bipartisan opposition to Warsh, confirmation delays, abrupt resignation, or court rulings on Fed independence could widen gaps among these tight frontrunners, with low odds before May 15 reflecting removal-for-cause barriers.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,439Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he does not step down after his May 15 term ends, alongside Powell's refusal to resign until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed and a DOJ criminal probe resolved, anchors trader consensus around late May to early June departures at 18-19.5%. Ongoing prosecutor visits to Fed sites and Republican calls to drop the probe heighten uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing looms as a pivotal catalyst. Bipartisan opposition to Warsh, confirmation delays, abrupt resignation, or court rulings on Fed independence could widen gaps among these tight frontrunners, with low odds before May 15 reflecting removal-for-cause barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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