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Politica·Columbia

Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto

Market icon
Politica·Columbia

Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto

Centro Democrático (CD) 81.1%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 2.3%

Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH) 1.6%

Coalizione MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL) 1.0%

Polymarket

$104,896 Vol.

Centro Democrático (CD) 81.1%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 2.3%

Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH) 1.6%

Coalizione MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL) 1.0%

Polymarket

$104,896 Vol.

Il CD otterrà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni del 2026 per la Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana? icon

Centro Democrático (CD)

$11,864 Vol.

90%

Il PLC otterrà il secondo maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana del 2026? icon

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

$26,275 Vol.

10%

Il PH vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana del 2026? icon

Patto Storico per la Colombia (PH)

$58,553 Vol.

2%

La coalizione MIRA-CJL otterrà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana del 2026? icon

Coalizione MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)

$2,612 Vol.

9%

Il Partito Conservatore vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana del 2026? icon

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservatore)

$1,324 Vol.

<1%

CR vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana del 2026? icon

Cambio Radical (CR)

$1,462 Vol.

<1%

L'Alleanza Verde otterrà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana del 2026? icon

Alleanza Verde (AV)

$1,331 Vol.

<1%

La U vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni 2026 della Camera dei Rappresentanti colombiana? icon

Partido de la U (La U)

$1,474 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Centro Democrático (CD) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives after the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, with official Registraduría Nacional tallies as of March 11 confirming 30 seats for CD versus 26 for Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) and fewer for others like MIRA-CJL. CD's strong recovery from 2022 lows, fueled by national list votes exceeding 5.6 million amid low turnout and a fragmented 188-seat chamber under proportional representation, solidifies its lead. Final certification by the Consejo Nacional Electoral remains pending, but CD's four-seat margin leaves slim room for reversal absent major recounts, indigenous special seat reallocations, or legal challenges in ongoing escrutinios completed March 31. Presidential primaries and May 31 vote loom as contextual factors.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$104,896
Data di fine
8 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Centro Democrático (CD) for second place in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives after the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, with official Registraduría Nacional tallies as of March 11 confirming 30 seats for CD versus 26 for Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) and fewer for others like MIRA-CJL. CD's strong recovery from 2022 lows, fueled by national list votes exceeding 5.6 million amid low turnout and a fragmented 188-seat chamber under proportional representation, solidifies its lead. Final certification by the Consejo Nacional Electoral remains pending, but CD's four-seat margin leaves slim room for reversal absent major recounts, indigenous special seat reallocations, or legal challenges in ongoing escrutinios completed March 31. Presidential primaries and May 31 vote loom as contextual factors.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$104,896
Data di fine
8 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Domande frequenti

"Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Centro Democrático (CD)" a 90%, seguito da "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" a 10%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto" ha generato $104.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto" è "Centro Democrático (CD)" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)" a 10%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezione della Camera dei Rappresentanti della Colombia: secondo posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.