Mercedes leads the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship with 379 points, 72 ahead of Ferrari, reflecting the team's early dominance under new regulations governing power units and active aerodynamics. Strong qualifying and race pace, particularly from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, combined with superior power unit integration have delivered multiple victories and consistent podiums. Ferrari trails at 307 points despite competitive showings, while McLaren sits third on 220 amid inconsistent results. The substantial gap and Mercedes' adaptation edge underpin trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability for the title, though remaining races including the upcoming Netherlands Grand Prix leave room for shifts if rivals close the development deficit.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMercedes 84%
Ferrari 12.4%
McLaren 1.7%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,305,173 Vol.
$28,305,173 Vol.

Mercedes
84%

Ferrari
12%

McLaren
2%

Red Bull Racing
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Williams
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 84%
Ferrari 12.4%
McLaren 1.7%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,305,173 Vol.
$28,305,173 Vol.

Mercedes
84%

Ferrari
12%

McLaren
2%

Red Bull Racing
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Williams
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Haas
<1%

Alpine
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' Championship with 379 points, 72 ahead of Ferrari, reflecting the team's early dominance under new regulations governing power units and active aerodynamics. Strong qualifying and race pace, particularly from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, combined with superior power unit integration have delivered multiple victories and consistent podiums. Ferrari trails at 307 points despite competitive showings, while McLaren sits third on 220 amid inconsistent results. The substantial gap and Mercedes' adaptation edge underpin trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability for the title, though remaining races including the upcoming Netherlands Grand Prix leave room for shifts if rivals close the development deficit.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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