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Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?

Market icon

Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 98.4%

Michael 1.0%

Wasteland Cop <1%

You, Me & Tuscany <1%

Polymarket

$119,595 Vol.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 98.4%

Michael 1.0%

Wasteland Cop <1%

You, Me & Tuscany <1%

Polymarket

$119,595 Vol.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$10,622 Vol.

98%

Michael

$10,876 Vol.

1%

Wasteland Cop

$46,947 Vol.

<1%

You, Me & Tuscany

$20,574 Vol.

<1%

Mother Mary

$5,499 Vol.

<1%

The Whistler

$19,649 Vol.

<1%

Lorne

$5,429 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's commanding 98.4% implied probability stems from its explosive box office dominance since its April 1 Universal/Illumination release, posting a record $131 million domestic opening and holding strong with a $69 million second weekend for a $310 million domestic cume as of mid-April—already 2026's highest-grossing film. Leveraging Nintendo's blockbuster IP and the franchise's family draw from the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $574 million domestic haul, it benefits from stellar word-of-mouth, broad audience scores, and minimal second-week drop. Traders see an insurmountable lead by May 31, with competitors like the upcoming April 24 Michael Jackson biopic (projected $80-100 million opening) needing unprecedented $400 million-plus legs to upset, or smaller releases like You, Me & Tuscany ($8 million debut) surging impossibly; next week's tracking updates could refine but unlikely shift the consensus.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$119,595
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's commanding 98.4% implied probability stems from its explosive box office dominance since its April 1 Universal/Illumination release, posting a record $131 million domestic opening and holding strong with a $69 million second weekend for a $310 million domestic cume as of mid-April—already 2026's highest-grossing film. Leveraging Nintendo's blockbuster IP and the franchise's family draw from the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $574 million domestic haul, it benefits from stellar word-of-mouth, broad audience scores, and minimal second-week drop. Traders see an insurmountable lead by May 31, with competitors like the upcoming April 24 Michael Jackson biopic (projected $80-100 million opening) needing unprecedented $400 million-plus legs to upset, or smaller releases like You, Me & Tuscany ($8 million debut) surging impossibly; next week's tracking updates could refine but unlikely shift the consensus.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$119,595
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Domande frequenti

"Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" a 98%, seguito da "Michael" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?" ha generato $119.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 25, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?" è "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Michael" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.