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icon for Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

icon for Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore

John Malkovich 28.7%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$115,431 Vol.

John Malkovich 28.7%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$115,431 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$7,153 Vol.

29%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,077 Vol.

27%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,034 Vol.

18%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,044 Vol.

15%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,364 Vol.

9%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,039 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,765 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,778 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,693 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,211 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,572 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,076 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a tightly contested early field anchored by Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey and John Malkovich’s career-highlight performance as a reflective CIA operative in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine.** Recent Venice and Telluride buzz has lifted Malkovich into the narrow lead at 29.4% implied probability, narrowing the gap with Damon at 26.5% as critics highlight both films’ awards trajectories. Andrew Scott (18.0%) benefits from strong precursor positioning in a prestige drama, while Tom Cruise (13.5%) draws support from the perennial “first Oscar” narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger. Lower-priced contenders like Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await fall festival reactions and guild nominations to clarify momentum, underscoring how critical reception, overdue narratives, and blockbuster scale continue to shape the wide-open contest ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,431
Data di fine
14 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a tightly contested early field anchored by Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey and John Malkovich’s career-highlight performance as a reflective CIA operative in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine.** Recent Venice and Telluride buzz has lifted Malkovich into the narrow lead at 29.4% implied probability, narrowing the gap with Damon at 26.5% as critics highlight both films’ awards trajectories. Andrew Scott (18.0%) benefits from strong precursor positioning in a prestige drama, while Tom Cruise (13.5%) draws support from the perennial “first Oscar” narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger. Lower-priced contenders like Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await fall festival reactions and guild nominations to clarify momentum, underscoring how critical reception, overdue narratives, and blockbuster scale continue to shape the wide-open contest ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,431
Data di fine
14 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Domande frequenti

"Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "John Malkovich" a 29%, seguito da "Matt Damon" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 29¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 29% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" ha generato $115.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 28, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" è "John Malkovich" a 29%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 29% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Matt Damon" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Oscar 2027: Miglior Attore" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.