With leading market-implied odds clustered between 25% and 34% for frontrunners like The Odyssey, The Black Ball, and Project Hail Mary, traders see a wide-open Best Adapted Screenplay field this early in the 2026 cycle. Strong literary and sci-fi source material, combined with high-profile directors and studios, fuels the tight consensus, while historical patterns favor adaptations with strong critical buzz and guild support. Key swing factors include release timing, early reviews, and precursor momentum from critics’ groups, with lower-odds entries like Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 needing breakout performances to close the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Black Ball 32%
Project Hail Mary 27%
The Social Reckoning 27%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mar 2027
The Black Ball
32%
Project Hail Mary
27%
The Social Reckoning
27%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
26%
All of a Sudden
26%
The Whisper Man
25%
The Invite
25%
Cry to Heaven
25%
Saturn Return
25%
Wildwood
25%
Ink
25%
Clarissa
24%
Dune: Part Three
19%
Toy Story 5
18%
The Odyssey
46%
The Black Ball 32%
Project Hail Mary 27%
The Social Reckoning 27%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mar 2027
The Black Ball
$0 Vol.
32%
Project Hail Mary
$0 Vol.
27%
The Social Reckoning
$0 Vol.
27%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 Vol.
26%
All of a Sudden
$0 Vol.
26%
The Whisper Man
$0 Vol.
25%
The Invite
$0 Vol.
25%
Cry to Heaven
$0 Vol.
25%
Saturn Return
$0 Vol.
25%
Wildwood
$0 Vol.
25%
Ink
$0 Vol.
25%
Clarissa
$0 Vol.
24%
Dune: Part Three
$0 Vol.
19%
Toy Story 5
$100 Vol.
18%
The Odyssey
$1 Vol.
46%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading market-implied odds clustered between 25% and 34% for frontrunners like The Odyssey, The Black Ball, and Project Hail Mary, traders see a wide-open Best Adapted Screenplay field this early in the 2026 cycle. Strong literary and sci-fi source material, combined with high-profile directors and studios, fuels the tight consensus, while historical patterns favor adaptations with strong critical buzz and guild support. Key swing factors include release timing, early reviews, and precursor momentum from critics’ groups, with lower-odds entries like Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 needing breakout performances to close the gap.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$101Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading market-implied odds clustered between 25% and 34% for frontrunners like The Odyssey, The Black Ball, and Project Hail Mary, traders see a wide-open Best Adapted Screenplay field this early in the 2026 cycle. Strong literary and sci-fi source material, combined with high-profile directors and studios, fuels the tight consensus, while historical patterns favor adaptations with strong critical buzz and guild support. Key swing factors include release timing, early reviews, and precursor momentum from critics’ groups, with lower-odds entries like Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 needing breakout performances to close the gap.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With leading market-implied odds clustered between 25% and 34% for frontrunners like The Odyssey, The Black Ball, and Project Hail Mary, traders see a wide-open Best Adapted Screenplay field this early in the 2026 cycle. Strong literary and sci-fi source material, combined with high-profile directors and studios, fuels the tight consensus, while historical patterns favor adaptations with strong critical buzz and guild support. Key swing factors include release timing, early reviews, and precursor momentum from critics’ groups, with lower-odds entries like Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 needing breakout performances to close the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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