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icon for Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film

Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film

icon for Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film

Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film

L'Odissea 53%

La Bola Negra 17%

Dune: Parte Tre 14%

Wild Horse Nine 7%

Polymarket

$200,915 Vol.

L'Odissea 53%

La Bola Negra 17%

Dune: Parte Tre 14%

Wild Horse Nine 7%

Polymarket

$200,915 Vol.

L'Odissea

$125,058 Vol.

53%

La Bola Negra

$4,988 Vol.

17%

Dune: Parte Tre

$18,308 Vol.

14%

Wild Horse Nine

$7,841 Vol.

7%

Digger

$8,554 Vol.

6%

Project Hail Mary

$4,366 Vol.

3%

The Debut

$5,080 Vol.

3%

Fjord

$4,579 Vol.

3%

The Invite

$1,329 Vol.

1%

Behemoth!

$3,774 Vol.

1%

Il dramma

$1,254 Vol.

<1%

Le Avventure di Cliff Booth

$1,218 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$3,378 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$1,193 Vol.

<1%

Disclosure Day

$1,244 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$1,198 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$1,346 Vol.

<1%

Avengers: Doomsday

$1,349 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$1,184 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a high-profile Christopher Nolan project with built-in awards pedigree and studio backing. A broad cluster of other titles around 50% reflects the wide-open early stage of the 2026 cycle, where few films have screened and no clear frontrunner has emerged from guild or critics' circles. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine illustrate how historical voting patterns reward proven directors and late-year critical darlings, yet box-office tracking, festival debuts, and upcoming precursor awards remain key swing factors that could quickly reorder the field.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,915
Data di fine
14 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey holds a narrow edge at 52.5% implied probability, driven by its status as a high-profile Christopher Nolan project with built-in awards pedigree and studio backing. A broad cluster of other titles around 50% reflects the wide-open early stage of the 2026 cycle, where few films have screened and no clear frontrunner has emerged from guild or critics' circles. Lower odds for Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine illustrate how historical voting patterns reward proven directors and late-year critical darlings, yet box-office tracking, festival debuts, and upcoming precursor awards remain key swing factors that could quickly reorder the field.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,915
Data di fine
14 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 22 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "L'Odissea" a 53%, seguito da "La Bola Negra" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 53¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 53% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film" ha generato $200.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film", esplora i 22 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film" è "L'Odissea" a 53%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 53% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "La Bola Negra" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.