The Odyssey's narrow lead at 53% implied probability reflects early trader consensus on its strong critical positioning and broad industry support heading into the 2026 awards season, while a deep field of titles clustered near 50% underscores the absence of a clear frontrunner. La Bola Negra at 22.5% and Dune: Part Three at 10.5% trail due to more limited release visibility and precursor buzz so far. With guild nominations and critics' awards still months away, momentum will hinge on fall festival reactions, box office trajectories, and SAG-AFTRA or PGA endorsements that historically signal Academy voter sentiment in such open races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
L'Odissea 53%
La Bola Negra 24%
Dune: Parte Tre 9%
Digger 7.0%
$208,586 Vol.
$208,586 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
53%
La Bola Negra
24%
Dune: Parte Tre
9%
Digger
7%
Wild Horse Nine
5%
Project Hail Mary
3%
The Debut
2%
Fjord
2%
The Invite
1%
Behemoth!
1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
Il dramma
<1%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
Josephine
<1%
Saturn Return
<1%
Tony
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
Fatherland
<1%
All of a Sudden
<1%
Michael
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
<1%
L'Odissea 53%
La Bola Negra 24%
Dune: Parte Tre 9%
Digger 7.0%
$208,586 Vol.
$208,586 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
$125,668 Vol.
53%
La Bola Negra
$6,097 Vol.
24%
Dune: Parte Tre
$18,574 Vol.
9%
Digger
$9,092 Vol.
7%
Wild Horse Nine
$8,598 Vol.
5%
Project Hail Mary
$4,602 Vol.
3%
The Debut
$5,301 Vol.
2%
Fjord
$4,881 Vol.
2%
The Invite
$1,654 Vol.
1%
Behemoth!
$4,011 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$1,429 Vol.
<1%
Il dramma
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
Clarissa
$1,423 Vol.
<1%
Josephine
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
Saturn Return
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
Tony
$3,623 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$1,484 Vol.
<1%
Fatherland
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
All of a Sudden
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
Michael
$1,591 Vol.
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,594 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's narrow lead at 53% implied probability reflects early trader consensus on its strong critical positioning and broad industry support heading into the 2026 awards season, while a deep field of titles clustered near 50% underscores the absence of a clear frontrunner. La Bola Negra at 22.5% and Dune: Part Three at 10.5% trail due to more limited release visibility and precursor buzz so far. With guild nominations and critics' awards still months away, momentum will hinge on fall festival reactions, box office trajectories, and SAG-AFTRA or PGA endorsements that historically signal Academy voter sentiment in such open races.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$208,586Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's narrow lead at 53% implied probability reflects early trader consensus on its strong critical positioning and broad industry support heading into the 2026 awards season, while a deep field of titles clustered near 50% underscores the absence of a clear frontrunner. La Bola Negra at 22.5% and Dune: Part Three at 10.5% trail due to more limited release visibility and precursor buzz so far. With guild nominations and critics' awards still months away, momentum will hinge on fall festival reactions, box office trajectories, and SAG-AFTRA or PGA endorsements that historically signal Academy voter sentiment in such open races.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$208,586Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey's narrow lead at 53% implied probability reflects early trader consensus on its strong critical positioning and broad industry support heading into the 2026 awards season, while a deep field of titles clustered near 50% underscores the absence of a clear frontrunner. La Bola Negra at 22.5% and Dune: Part Three at 10.5% trail due to more limited release visibility and precursor buzz so far. With guild nominations and critics' awards still months away, momentum will hinge on fall festival reactions, box office trajectories, and SAG-AFTRA or PGA endorsements that historically signal Academy voter sentiment in such open races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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