The 2027 Oscars Best Picture market shows a wide-open race this early in the 2026 release cycle, with multiple high-profile titles carrying nearly identical implied probabilities near 50%. Traders appear focused on anticipated critical reception, festival buzz, and guild momentum rather than any single frontrunner, as most contenders have yet to screen. The Odyssey sits just below the pack at 49.5% while Dune: Part Three leads named films at 16.5%, reflecting expectations around established directors and franchise appeal. Upcoming factors include fall festival premieres, early reviews, and box-office tracking that could quickly shift sentiment once actual performance data emerges. Historical patterns show such fragmented fields often consolidate after precursor awards season begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
Oscar 2027: vincitore del miglior film
L'Odissea 50%
Dune: Parte Tre 17%
Wild Horse Nine 9%
Digger 8%
$17,682 Vol.
$17,682 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
50%
Dune: Parte Tre
17%
Wild Horse Nine
9%
Digger
8%
Fjord
6%
Project Hail Mary
6%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
5%
Clarissa
4%
Josephine
4%
Behemoth!
4%
Saturn Return
4%
Tony
3%
The Social Reckoning
3%
Fatherland
3%
All of a Sudden
3%
Il dramma
3%
Michael
3%
Disclosure Day
3%
Avengers: Doomsday
3%
L'Odissea 50%
Dune: Parte Tre 17%
Wild Horse Nine 9%
Digger 8%
$17,682 Vol.
$17,682 Vol.
14 mar 2027
L'Odissea
$13,979 Vol.
50%
Dune: Parte Tre
$1,986 Vol.
17%
Wild Horse Nine
$151 Vol.
9%
Digger
$224 Vol.
8%
Fjord
$973 Vol.
6%
Project Hail Mary
$144 Vol.
6%
Le Avventure di Cliff Booth
$30 Vol.
5%
Clarissa
$5 Vol.
4%
Josephine
$30 Vol.
4%
Behemoth!
$5 Vol.
4%
Saturn Return
$5 Vol.
4%
Tony
$5 Vol.
3%
The Social Reckoning
$5 Vol.
3%
Fatherland
$5 Vol.
3%
All of a Sudden
$5 Vol.
3%
Il dramma
$5 Vol.
3%
Michael
$60 Vol.
3%
Disclosure Day
$30 Vol.
3%
Avengers: Doomsday
$35 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Picture market shows a wide-open race this early in the 2026 release cycle, with multiple high-profile titles carrying nearly identical implied probabilities near 50%. Traders appear focused on anticipated critical reception, festival buzz, and guild momentum rather than any single frontrunner, as most contenders have yet to screen. The Odyssey sits just below the pack at 49.5% while Dune: Part Three leads named films at 16.5%, reflecting expectations around established directors and franchise appeal. Upcoming factors include fall festival premieres, early reviews, and box-office tracking that could quickly shift sentiment once actual performance data emerges. Historical patterns show such fragmented fields often consolidate after precursor awards season begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
Volume
$17,682Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Oscars Best Picture market shows a wide-open race this early in the 2026 release cycle, with multiple high-profile titles carrying nearly identical implied probabilities near 50%. Traders appear focused on anticipated critical reception, festival buzz, and guild momentum rather than any single frontrunner, as most contenders have yet to screen. The Odyssey sits just below the pack at 49.5% while Dune: Part Three leads named films at 16.5%, reflecting expectations around established directors and franchise appeal. Upcoming factors include fall festival premieres, early reviews, and box-office tracking that could quickly shift sentiment once actual performance data emerges. Historical patterns show such fragmented fields often consolidate after precursor awards season begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,682Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Oscars Best Picture market shows a wide-open race this early in the 2026 release cycle, with multiple high-profile titles carrying nearly identical implied probabilities near 50%. Traders appear focused on anticipated critical reception, festival buzz, and guild momentum rather than any single frontrunner, as most contenders have yet to screen. The Odyssey sits just below the pack at 49.5% while Dune: Part Three leads named films at 16.5%, reflecting expectations around established directors and franchise appeal. Upcoming factors include fall festival premieres, early reviews, and box-office tracking that could quickly shift sentiment once actual performance data emerges. Historical patterns show such fragmented fields often consolidate after precursor awards season begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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