With the 2027 Oscars more than six months away and most 2026 releases still building momentum, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, with dozens of names at 50% implied probability and Anne Hathaway the clearest early signal at 36.5%. This pricing reflects the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals, leaving room for campaign narratives, critical reception, and box-office performance to shift odds rapidly once fall festivals and year-end releases arrive. Historical patterns favor actresses with strong guild backing and awards-season visibility, yet the current deadlock underscores how late-breaking reviews, streaming metrics, or surprise nominations can quickly consolidate support among academy voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: miglior attrice non protagonista
Oscar 2027: miglior attrice non protagonista
Anne Hathaway 37%
Penélope Cruz 16%
Betty Gilpin 7%
Mariana di Girolamo 6.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mar 2027
Anne Hathaway
37%
Penélope Cruz
10%
Betty Gilpin
7%
Mariana di Girolamo
6%
Inde Navarrette
6%
Zendaya
6%
Tao Okamoto
5%
Sandra Hüller
5%
Parker Posey
5%
Isabella Rossellini
5%
Gemma Chan
4%
Margaret Qualley
4%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Anne Hathaway 37%
Penélope Cruz 16%
Betty Gilpin 7%
Mariana di Girolamo 6.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 mar 2027
Anne Hathaway
$7,134 Vol.
37%
Penélope Cruz
$362 Vol.
10%
Betty Gilpin
$206 Vol.
7%
Mariana di Girolamo
$79 Vol.
6%
Inde Navarrette
$181 Vol.
6%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
6%
Tao Okamoto
$50 Vol.
5%
Sandra Hüller
$216 Vol.
5%
Parker Posey
$71 Vol.
5%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
5%
Gemma Chan
$102 Vol.
4%
Margaret Qualley
$201 Vol.
4%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars more than six months away and most 2026 releases still building momentum, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, with dozens of names at 50% implied probability and Anne Hathaway the clearest early signal at 36.5%. This pricing reflects the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals, leaving room for campaign narratives, critical reception, and box-office performance to shift odds rapidly once fall festivals and year-end releases arrive. Historical patterns favor actresses with strong guild backing and awards-season visibility, yet the current deadlock underscores how late-breaking reviews, streaming metrics, or surprise nominations can quickly consolidate support among academy voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$9,107Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars more than six months away and most 2026 releases still building momentum, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, with dozens of names at 50% implied probability and Anne Hathaway the clearest early signal at 36.5%. This pricing reflects the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals, leaving room for campaign narratives, critical reception, and box-office performance to shift odds rapidly once fall festivals and year-end releases arrive. Historical patterns favor actresses with strong guild backing and awards-season visibility, yet the current deadlock underscores how late-breaking reviews, streaming metrics, or surprise nominations can quickly consolidate support among academy voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,107Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars more than six months away and most 2026 releases still building momentum, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress shows a wide-open field, with dozens of names at 50% implied probability and Anne Hathaway the clearest early signal at 36.5%. This pricing reflects the absence of decisive precursors or guild signals, leaving room for campaign narratives, critical reception, and box-office performance to shift odds rapidly once fall festivals and year-end releases arrive. Historical patterns favor actresses with strong guild backing and awards-season visibility, yet the current deadlock underscores how late-breaking reviews, streaming metrics, or surprise nominations can quickly consolidate support among academy voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti