Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 14°C in Ankara today (99.3% implied probability), driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly forecast capping the peak at 14°C from 12:00–15:00 amid very cloudy skies, 5.76 mm accumulated precipitation, and winds gusting to 35 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Current observations hit 15.6°C around 14:25 but are rapidly cooling to 11°C by afternoon, aligning with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather (58°F/14.4°C high) and others under a cool spring air mass. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing for minor solar insolation boosting to 15°C, though persistent overcast and showers make this unlikely; resolution hinges on official Ankara station data by midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,848 Vol.
$124,848 Vol.
18 apr 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,848 Vol.
$124,848 Vol.
18 apr 2026
13°C
$58,320 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$14,339 Vol.
100%
15°C
$9,120 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,026 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,330 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,416 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,929 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,449 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,098 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$2,249 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 14°C in Ankara today (99.3% implied probability), driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly forecast capping the peak at 14°C from 12:00–15:00 amid very cloudy skies, 5.76 mm accumulated precipitation, and winds gusting to 35 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Current observations hit 15.6°C around 14:25 but are rapidly cooling to 11°C by afternoon, aligning with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather (58°F/14.4°C high) and others under a cool spring air mass. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing for minor solar insolation boosting to 15°C, though persistent overcast and showers make this unlikely; resolution hinges on official Ankara station data by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$124,848Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Contestato
Esito proposto: No
Contestato
Revisione finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 14°C in Ankara today (99.3% implied probability), driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly forecast capping the peak at 14°C from 12:00–15:00 amid very cloudy skies, 5.76 mm accumulated precipitation, and winds gusting to 35 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Current observations hit 15.6°C around 14:25 but are rapidly cooling to 11°C by afternoon, aligning with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather (58°F/14.4°C high) and others under a cool spring air mass. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing for minor solar insolation boosting to 15°C, though persistent overcast and showers make this unlikely; resolution hinges on official Ankara station data by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$124,848Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Contestato
Esito proposto: No
Contestato
Revisione finale
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 14°C in Ankara today (99.3% implied probability), driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly forecast capping the peak at 14°C from 12:00–15:00 amid very cloudy skies, 5.76 mm accumulated precipitation, and winds gusting to 35 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Current observations hit 15.6°C around 14:25 but are rapidly cooling to 11°C by afternoon, aligning with ensemble model guidance from AccuWeather (58°F/14.4°C high) and others under a cool spring air mass. Realistic challenges include unexpected partial clearing for minor solar insolation boosting to 15°C, though persistent overcast and showers make this unlikely; resolution hinges on official Ankara station data by midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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