Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 1° agosto?
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
41%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 17%
26°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 ago 2026
23°C or below
$337 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
2%
26°C
$301 Vol.
6%
27°C
$171 Vol.
17%
28°C
$393 Vol.
41%
29°C
$92 Vol.
26%
30°C
$71 Vol.
5%
31°C
$128 Vol.
4%
32°C
$23 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,841Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,841Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecast guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s August 1 maximum near 28–29 °C under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and light northerly flow limiting advection of cooler air. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact high-pressure positioning create the tight 21.5 % versus 21.0 % market split between those two outcomes. Historical August averages of 29–31 °C provide context, yet the near-term pattern shows slightly below-climatology warmth due to residual upper-level trough influence. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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