Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara l'11 luglio?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara l'11 luglio?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,157 Vol.
$34,157 Vol.
11 lug 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$34,157 Vol.
$34,157 Vol.
11 lug 2026
25°C or below
$1,527 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,929 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,380 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,019 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,873 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,426 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$5,920 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,737 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,770 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,101 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$475 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$34,157Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,157Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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