Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 26 agosto?
104-105°F 50%
102-103°F 36%
106-107°F 10%
100-101°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
36%
104-105°F
50%
106-107°F
10%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 50%
102-103°F 36%
106-107°F 10%
100-101°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
95°F or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$260 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$295 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$263 Vol.
6%
102-103°F
$211 Vol.
36%
104-105°F
$267 Vol.
50%
106-107°F
$170 Vol.
10%
108-109°F
$47 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$280 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,563Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,563Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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