Persistent heat dome conditions and high pressure across central Texas have sustained elevated overnight lows near 78°F in recent days, positioning the 71°F-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46% implied probability despite the typical August average of 75°F. Official National Weather Service guidance shows mostly clear skies and southerly flow limiting radiational cooling for the night of August 25–26, with model consensus favoring lows in the mid-to-upper 70s. Recent data shifts remain minimal, though any increase in cloud cover or moisture from distant tropical influences could enhance cooling and shift probabilities toward the clustered 72–79°F bins. Traders monitor updated NWS and NOAA model runs for the final 24-hour forecast window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Austin il 26 agosto?
82-83°F 45%
71°F or below 45%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
71°F or below
45%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
19%
82-83°F 45%
71°F or below 45%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
23%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
45%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$5 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome conditions and high pressure across central Texas have sustained elevated overnight lows near 78°F in recent days, positioning the 71°F-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46% implied probability despite the typical August average of 75°F. Official National Weather Service guidance shows mostly clear skies and southerly flow limiting radiational cooling for the night of August 25–26, with model consensus favoring lows in the mid-to-upper 70s. Recent data shifts remain minimal, though any increase in cloud cover or moisture from distant tropical influences could enhance cooling and shift probabilities toward the clustered 72–79°F bins. Traders monitor updated NWS and NOAA model runs for the final 24-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat dome conditions and high pressure across central Texas have sustained elevated overnight lows near 78°F in recent days, positioning the 71°F-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46% implied probability despite the typical August average of 75°F. Official National Weather Service guidance shows mostly clear skies and southerly flow limiting radiational cooling for the night of August 25–26, with model consensus favoring lows in the mid-to-upper 70s. Recent data shifts remain minimal, though any increase in cloud cover or moisture from distant tropical influences could enhance cooling and shift probabilities toward the clustered 72–79°F bins. Traders monitor updated NWS and NOAA model runs for the final 24-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat dome conditions and high pressure across central Texas have sustained elevated overnight lows near 78°F in recent days, positioning the 71°F-or-below outcome as the market leader at 46% implied probability despite the typical August average of 75°F. Official National Weather Service guidance shows mostly clear skies and southerly flow limiting radiational cooling for the night of August 25–26, with model consensus favoring lows in the mid-to-upper 70s. Recent data shifts remain minimal, though any increase in cloud cover or moisture from distant tropical influences could enhance cooling and shift probabilities toward the clustered 72–79°F bins. Traders monitor updated NWS and NOAA model runs for the final 24-hour forecast window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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