Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on June 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 14?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$64,951 Vol.
$64,951 Vol.
14 giu 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$64,951 Vol.
$64,951 Vol.
14 giu 2026
83°F or below
$8,219 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,777 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,262 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,548 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$24,897 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$6,913 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$3,573 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$4,591 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,770 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$921 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$480 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$64,951Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,951Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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