Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 26°C (35.5%) and 31°C (35.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting model ensemble uncertainty amid spring's frontal variability. Recent observations show a cool spell—April 14 peaked near 18°C under northerly influences—followed by a projected warm-up from southerly winds and high pressure, per BBC and other forecasts eyeing 28°C sunny conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover suppressing peaks to mid-20s versus clear skies and downslope warming pushing toward 30°C+, with historical April averages around 20–22°C but wide daily swings from cold air intrusions. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 17 could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
28°C 32%
27°C 27%
29°C 26%
30°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
25°C or below
16%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
32%
29°C
26%
30°C
21%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
27°C 27%
29°C 26%
30°C 21%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$75 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2 Vol.
14%
33°C
$50 Vol.
9%
34°C
$2 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 26°C (35.5%) and 31°C (35.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting model ensemble uncertainty amid spring's frontal variability. Recent observations show a cool spell—April 14 peaked near 18°C under northerly influences—followed by a projected warm-up from southerly winds and high pressure, per BBC and other forecasts eyeing 28°C sunny conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover suppressing peaks to mid-20s versus clear skies and downslope warming pushing toward 30°C+, with historical April averages around 20–22°C but wide daily swings from cold air intrusions. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 17 could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 26°C (35.5%) and 31°C (35.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting model ensemble uncertainty amid spring's frontal variability. Recent observations show a cool spell—April 14 peaked near 18°C under northerly influences—followed by a projected warm-up from southerly winds and high pressure, per BBC and other forecasts eyeing 28°C sunny conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover suppressing peaks to mid-20s versus clear skies and downslope warming pushing toward 30°C+, with historical April averages around 20–22°C but wide daily swings from cold air intrusions. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 17 could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 26°C (35.5%) and 31°C (35.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting model ensemble uncertainty amid spring's frontal variability. Recent observations show a cool spell—April 14 peaked near 18°C under northerly influences—followed by a projected warm-up from southerly winds and high pressure, per BBC and other forecasts eyeing 28°C sunny conditions. Differentiating factors include potential cloud cover suppressing peaks to mid-20s versus clear skies and downslope warming pushing toward 30°C+, with historical April averages around 20–22°C but wide daily swings from cold air intrusions. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 17 could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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