Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 29?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$197,051 Vol.
$197,051 Vol.
29 apr 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$197,051 Vol.
$197,051 Vol.
29 apr 2026
21°C or below
$6,448 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,402 Vol.
No
23°C
$23,351 Vol.
No
24°C
$22,564 Vol.
No
25°C
$38,707 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$21,522 Vol.
No
27°C
$24,696 Vol.
No
28°C
$13,296 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,036 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,188 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$11,840 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$197,051Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$197,051Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Meteorological observations from Beijing Capital International Airport station and China Meteorological Administration reports confirm the high temperature peaked at 25°C around mid-afternoon on April 29 under clear skies and light southwest winds, aligning with forecast model consensus from AccuWeather and CMA predicting 24–25°C amid high-pressure dominance. This diurnal peak reflects standard solar insolation patterns for late April, with relative humidity dropping to 14–20% enhancing sensible temperatures without exceeding thresholds for higher outcomes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time data, leaving scant window for challenge—a rare late-day convective heat burst before sunset (~19:00 local) could push to 26°C, though current cooling trajectories and historical April analogs (averaging 20°C highs) make this improbable. Final Wunderground data release will resolve.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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