Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 18 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 18 luglio?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$89,906 Vol.
$89,906 Vol.
18 lug 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$89,906 Vol.
$89,906 Vol.
18 lug 2026
12°C or below
$918 Vol.
No
13°C
$240 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,018 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,747 Vol.
No
16°C
$9,307 Vol.
No
17°C
$11,550 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,572 Vol.
No
19°C
$14,642 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$22,445 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,310 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$7,158 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$89,906Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,906Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest forecast model consensus from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 18, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 17–18 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (39.5 %) and 17 °C (27.5 %) outcomes. July climatology shows average daily highs near 15 °C, yet recent observations and short-range guidance indicate no strong cold-air advection or frontal passage, keeping readings several degrees above seasonal norms. Model spread remains modest for this 24–36-hour horizon, though small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could still adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Updated runs from the GFS and ECMWF over the next 12 hours will provide the clearest signal for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti