Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 14 giugno?
10°C 100.0%
5°C o inferiore <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
5°C o inferiore
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o superiore
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C o inferiore <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
5°C o inferiore
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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