Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Città del Capo il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Città del Capo il 15 aprile?
21°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 Vol.
$48,512 Vol.
15 apr 2026
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 Vol.
$48,512 Vol.
15 apr 2026
15°C o inferiore
$1,054 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,147 Vol.
No
17°C
$15,710 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,141 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,147 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,729 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,635 Vol.
Sì
22°C
$5,893 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,568 Vol.
No
24°C
$895 Vol.
No
25°C o superiore
$1,593 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$48,512Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,512Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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