The August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse placed Reykjavík inside the narrow path of totality, delivering roughly 1 minute of complete solar obscuration (magnitude 1.002) with the Sun about 25° above the western horizon. Official NHC/NOAA-equivalent orbital calculations and ground-track maps from NASA and national eclipse resources confirm this geometry placed the capital near the eastern edge of the umbral path. Trader consensus at 89.8% Yes reflects verified post-event reports of adequate sky clearance during maximum eclipse despite earlier forecasts of variable cloud and light rain; Icelandic Meteorological Office data and eyewitness accounts indicated patchy or thin cloud that permitted clear views of the corona and diamond-ring effect for most observers. This outcome aligns with historical August climatology showing occasional breaks even on predominantly overcast days. No further data releases are expected, as the market resolves on actual visibility criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'eclissi solare totale sarà ben visibile a Reykjavík?
Sì
$6,323 Vol.
$6,323 Vol.
Sì
$6,323 Vol.
$6,323 Vol.
If the 18:00 UTC BIRK observation is missing or not reported within 24 hours, the 17:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used instead or, if it is also missing, the 19:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used. If both are missing, this market will resolve based on Keflavík International Airport's (stationID:BIKF) observations using the same time hierarchy.
The primary resolution source is the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) ASOS archive (mesonet.agron.iastate.edu), routine hourly reports only, skyc1 field. The raw METAR text of the qualifying observation governs in the event of any discrepancy in the parsed CSV field.
This market cannot resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. Revisions to the cloud coverage recorded by the resolution source will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
At the time of the launch of this market, a CSV file that will update with the relevant observations can be found here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?network=IS__ASOS&station=BIRK&data=skyc1&year1=2026&month1=8&day1=12&year2=2026&month2=8&day2=12&tz=Etc%2FUTC&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&elev=no&missing=M&trace=T&direct=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the 18:00 UTC BIRK observation is missing or not reported within 24 hours, the 17:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used instead or, if it is also missing, the 19:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used. If both are missing, this market will resolve based on Keflavík International Airport's (stationID:BIKF) observations using the same time hierarchy.
The primary resolution source is the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) ASOS archive (mesonet.agron.iastate.edu), routine hourly reports only, skyc1 field. The raw METAR text of the qualifying observation governs in the event of any discrepancy in the parsed CSV field.
This market cannot resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. Revisions to the cloud coverage recorded by the resolution source will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
At the time of the launch of this market, a CSV file that will update with the relevant observations can be found here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?network=IS__ASOS&station=BIRK&data=skyc1&year1=2026&month1=8&day1=12&year2=2026&month2=8&day2=12&tz=Etc%2FUTC&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&elev=no&missing=M&trace=T&direct=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse placed Reykjavík inside the narrow path of totality, delivering roughly 1 minute of complete solar obscuration (magnitude 1.002) with the Sun about 25° above the western horizon. Official NHC/NOAA-equivalent orbital calculations and ground-track maps from NASA and national eclipse resources confirm this geometry placed the capital near the eastern edge of the umbral path. Trader consensus at 89.8% Yes reflects verified post-event reports of adequate sky clearance during maximum eclipse despite earlier forecasts of variable cloud and light rain; Icelandic Meteorological Office data and eyewitness accounts indicated patchy or thin cloud that permitted clear views of the corona and diamond-ring effect for most observers. This outcome aligns with historical August climatology showing occasional breaks even on predominantly overcast days. No further data releases are expected, as the market resolves on actual visibility criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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