**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's June 25 high temperature reflects tight clustering around 20–22°C because current ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF place the most likely maximum near 20°C amid typical winter variability.** A cold front crossing the Western Cape on June 23 is expected to bring cooler, showery conditions that moderate temperatures before a ridge builds, limiting strong warming. Historical June averages of 18–19°C provide context, yet day-to-day fluctuations from Atlantic high-pressure steering and local orographic effects keep the distribution narrow. With resolution two days away, the next official South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs will likely sharpen probabilities around these central outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 25?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,727 Vol.
$38,727 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,727 Vol.
$38,727 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's June 25 high temperature reflects tight clustering around 20–22°C because current ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF place the most likely maximum near 20°C amid typical winter variability.** A cold front crossing the Western Cape on June 23 is expected to bring cooler, showery conditions that moderate temperatures before a ridge builds, limiting strong warming. Historical June averages of 18–19°C provide context, yet day-to-day fluctuations from Atlantic high-pressure steering and local orographic effects keep the distribution narrow. With resolution two days away, the next official South African Weather Service updates and refined model runs will likely sharpen probabilities around these central outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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