Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 Vol.
$78,542 Vol.
26 giu 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 Vol.
$78,542 Vol.
26 giu 2026
24°C or below
$5,211 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,326 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,788 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,115 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,781 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,492 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,278 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,791 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$5,871 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,904 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$6,986 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$78,542Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78,542Data di fine
26 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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