Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 18 luglio?
34°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$77,669 Vol.
$77,669 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Sì
35°C o superiore
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$77,669 Vol.
$77,669 Vol.
25°C o inferiore
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Sì
35°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological centers indicate Chongqing's July 18 high will likely settle near 30–32°C, reflecting the tail end of a regional heatwave expected to ease around that date. Persistent summer humidity, urban heat-island effects in the Sichuan Basin, and weakening high-pressure systems are moderating peak temperatures while keeping conditions above seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against typical July averages of 33°C and the possibility of brief afternoon convection that could trim daily maxima, producing the tight clustering around 29–32°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and any last-minute model shifts will likely refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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