Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 Vol.
$86,052 Vol.
17 giu 2026
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 Vol.
$86,052 Vol.
17 giu 2026
25°C or below
$29,723 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$8,802 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,243 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,702 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,915 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,023 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,392 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,133 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,354 Vol.
No
34°C
$991 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$774 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$86,052Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86,052Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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