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icon for La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?

La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?

icon for La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?

La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?

98-99°F 40%

100-101°F 31%

96-97°F 19%

102-103°F 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

98-99°F 40%

100-101°F 31%

96-97°F 19%

102-103°F 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

89°F o meno

$15 Vol.

2%

90-91°F

$20 Vol.

2%

92-93°F

$69 Vol.

6%

94-95°F

$3 Vol.

8%

96-97°F

$56 Vol.

19%

98-99°F

$259 Vol.

40%

100-101°F

$3,597 Vol.

31%

102-103°F

$44 Vol.

9%

104-105°F

$41 Vol.

4%

106-107°F

$25 Vol.

2%

108°F o superiore

$296 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance and private model consensus indicate a return to hot, mostly sunny conditions across northeast Colorado for July 25, 2026, following mid-week thunderstorm activity, positioning the highest temperature near 98–101 °F as the leading outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and dry adiabatic warming from downslope flow off the Rockies, combined with strong July insolation at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, favor rapid daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and light winds reducing evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late-July heat episodes in the Front Range, where daily maxima often exceed 95 °F when synoptic ridging dominates. Market-implied probabilities concentrate in the 98–101 °F bins because current model runs show little spread around this range, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS updates and 00z/12z model cycles on July 24 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,918
Data di fine
25 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance and private model consensus indicate a return to hot, mostly sunny conditions across northeast Colorado for July 25, 2026, following mid-week thunderstorm activity, positioning the highest temperature near 98–101 °F as the leading outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and dry adiabatic warming from downslope flow off the Rockies, combined with strong July insolation at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, favor rapid daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and light winds reducing evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late-July heat episodes in the Front Range, where daily maxima often exceed 95 °F when synoptic ridging dominates. Market-implied probabilities concentrate in the 98–101 °F bins because current model runs show little spread around this range, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS updates and 00z/12z model cycles on July 24 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,918
Data di fine
25 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "98-99°F" a 40%, seguito da "100-101°F" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 23, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?" è "98-99°F" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "100-101°F" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più alta a Denver il 25 luglio?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.