National Weather Service forecasts from the Denver/Boulder office project a high temperature near 61°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 58°F or higher. Current observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) show midday temperatures already at 51°F as of late morning, with several hours of peak solar insolation remaining to drive additional warming per standard diurnal cycles. NOAA model ensembles align on high pressure ridging minimizing cold air advection, despite nearby mountain snow from recent upslope flow. Historical May 1 averages hover around 65°F, with sub-58°F highs rare absent major frontal passages. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or convective debris, though guidance shows low risk; monitor NWS hourly updates for refinements before evening resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on May 1?
58°F or higher 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$56,268 Vol.
$56,268 Vol.
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
Yes
58°F or higher 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$56,268 Vol.
$56,268 Vol.
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Denver/Boulder office project a high temperature near 61°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for 58°F or higher. Current observations at Denver International Airport (KDEN) show midday temperatures already at 51°F as of late morning, with several hours of peak solar insolation remaining to drive additional warming per standard diurnal cycles. NOAA model ensembles align on high pressure ridging minimizing cold air advection, despite nearby mountain snow from recent upslope flow. Historical May 1 averages hover around 65°F, with sub-58°F highs rare absent major frontal passages. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or convective debris, though guidance shows low risk; monitor NWS hourly updates for refinements before evening resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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