Confirmed observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport's official station, per China Meteorological Administration protocols and Wunderground data, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C during the early afternoon of May 11, driving the market's near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as diurnal cooling sets in. This aligns with consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecast models, which projected highs near 31°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions—high humidity, partial cloud cover, and moderate winds suppressing further intensification—consistent with historical May averages of 29–30°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or urban heat island effects, though evening hourly readings already declining to 28°C minimize this risk; final CMA verification expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 11?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,593 Vol.
$65,593 Vol.
11 mag 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,593 Vol.
$65,593 Vol.
11 mag 2026
25°C or below
$2,575 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,300 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,398 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,413 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,623 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,575 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,392 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$9,906 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,331 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,900 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$4,180 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Confirmed observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport's official station, per China Meteorological Administration protocols and Wunderground data, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C during the early afternoon of May 11, driving the market's near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as diurnal cooling sets in. This aligns with consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecast models, which projected highs near 31°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions—high humidity, partial cloud cover, and moderate winds suppressing further intensification—consistent with historical May averages of 29–30°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or urban heat island effects, though evening hourly readings already declining to 28°C minimize this risk; final CMA verification expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 4:42 AM ET
Volume
$65,593Data di fine
11 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:42 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Confirmed observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport's official station, per China Meteorological Administration protocols and Wunderground data, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C during the early afternoon of May 11, driving the market's near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as diurnal cooling sets in. This aligns with consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecast models, which projected highs near 31°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions—high humidity, partial cloud cover, and moderate winds suppressing further intensification—consistent with historical May averages of 29–30°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or urban heat island effects, though evening hourly readings already declining to 28°C minimize this risk; final CMA verification expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,593Data di fine
11 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 4:42 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Confirmed observations from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport's official station, per China Meteorological Administration protocols and Wunderground data, recorded a peak temperature of 31°C during the early afternoon of May 11, driving the market's near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as diurnal cooling sets in. This aligns with consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecast models, which projected highs near 31°C amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions—high humidity, partial cloud cover, and moderate winds suppressing further intensification—consistent with historical May averages of 29–30°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst from enhanced solar insolation or urban heat island effects, though evening hourly readings already declining to 28°C minimize this risk; final CMA verification expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti