Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$37,138 Vol.
$37,138 Vol.
5 mag 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$37,138 Vol.
$37,138 Vol.
5 mag 2026
16°C or below
$1,379 Vol.
No
17°C
$720 Vol.
No
18°C
$631 Vol.
No
19°C
$570 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,655 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,559 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,195 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,437 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$3,843 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,387 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$4,762 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$37,138Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$37,138Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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