Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s September 26 maximum near 33–35 °C, with limited spread reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and modest daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. High boundary-layer humidity (55–65 %) and light southerly flow from the South China Sea suppress rapid afternoon heating while maintaining elevated dew points that limit extreme peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming relative to the 31.1 °C climatological average, keeping 36 °C and higher probabilities low. Traders therefore assign roughly equal weight to the 33–36 °C bins, reflecting the narrow window between typical late-September conditions and the modest intensification possible if skies clear further. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final 48-hour model runs will resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 26 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 26 settembre?
35°C 27%
34°C 24%
36°C 22%
32°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
19%
34°C
24%
35°C
27%
36°C
22%
37°C
19%
38°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 27%
34°C 24%
36°C 22%
32°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 set 2026
28°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
27%
36°C
$0 Vol.
22%
37°C
$0 Vol.
19%
38°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s September 26 maximum near 33–35 °C, with limited spread reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and modest daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. High boundary-layer humidity (55–65 %) and light southerly flow from the South China Sea suppress rapid afternoon heating while maintaining elevated dew points that limit extreme peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming relative to the 31.1 °C climatological average, keeping 36 °C and higher probabilities low. Traders therefore assign roughly equal weight to the 33–36 °C bins, reflecting the narrow window between typical late-September conditions and the modest intensification possible if skies clear further. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final 48-hour model runs will resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10Data di fine
26 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s September 26 maximum near 33–35 °C, with limited spread reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and modest daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. High boundary-layer humidity (55–65 %) and light southerly flow from the South China Sea suppress rapid afternoon heating while maintaining elevated dew points that limit extreme peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming relative to the 31.1 °C climatological average, keeping 36 °C and higher probabilities low. Traders therefore assign roughly equal weight to the 33–36 °C bins, reflecting the narrow window between typical late-September conditions and the modest intensification possible if skies clear further. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final 48-hour model runs will resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Data di fine
26 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Guangzhou’s September 26 maximum near 33–35 °C, with limited spread reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and modest daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies. High boundary-layer humidity (55–65 %) and light southerly flow from the South China Sea suppress rapid afternoon heating while maintaining elevated dew points that limit extreme peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming relative to the 31.1 °C climatological average, keeping 36 °C and higher probabilities low. Traders therefore assign roughly equal weight to the 33–36 °C bins, reflecting the narrow window between typical late-September conditions and the modest intensification possible if skies clear further. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final 48-hour model runs will resolve the remaining uncertainty before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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