Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$61,090 Vol.
$61,090 Vol.
20 mag 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$61,090 Vol.
$61,090 Vol.
20 mag 2026
20°C or below
$306 Vol.
No
21°C
$326 Vol.
No
22°C
$337 Vol.
No
23°C
$372 Vol.
No
24°C
$314 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,104 Vol.
No
26°C
$13,016 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,925 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,499 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,716 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$15,175 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$61,090Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,090Data di fine
20 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm that the highest temperature on May 20 reached or exceeded 30°C, aligning with the market-implied odds near 100% for that threshold. This outcome reflects seasonal warming trends in late spring, where climatological averages climb toward 28°C maxima amid increasing solar insolation and humidity levels typical of the region. Model consensus from regional forecasts had anticipated above-normal conditions driven by broader climate patterns, including a long-term warming trajectory documented in observatory records. While rare measurement revisions or localized microclimate variations could theoretically alter final verified data, the strength of surface station readings and consistency across monitoring networks make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti