Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$475,657 Vol.
$475,657 Vol.
5 mag 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$475,657 Vol.
$475,657 Vol.
5 mag 2026
18°C or below
$3,652 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,097 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,440 Vol.
No
21°C
$115,724 Vol.
No
22°C
$140,769 Vol.
No
23°C
$61,215 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$39,385 Vol.
No
25°C
$25,862 Vol.
No
26°C
$25,874 Vol.
No
27°C
$21,917 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$23,721 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$475,657Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$475,657Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from late May 5, 2026, confirm the highest temperature reached 23°C at key stations including the Observatory headquarters and Chek Lap Kok, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon suppressing highs. This aligns with model consensus forecasts showing cool, cloudy conditions with east-southeast winds limiting daytime warming, well below May's typical average maximum of around 28°C. While measurement revisions from outlier stations are theoretically possible, they are exceedingly rare post-preliminary validation, solidifying the market's resolution based on verified meteorological data from the territory's authoritative monitoring body.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti