Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 2 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 2 luglio?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F o meno <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$70,165 Vol.
$70,165 Vol.
2 lug 2026
83°F o meno
No
84-85°F
No
30-31°C
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Sì
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F o superiore
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F o meno <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$70,165 Vol.
$70,165 Vol.
2 lug 2026
83°F o meno
$2,782 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,095 Vol.
No
30-31°C
$2,823 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,066 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$11,973 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,118 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$14,421 Vol.
Sì
96-97°F
$7,421 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$6,597 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,525 Vol.
No
102°F o superiore
$2,344 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$70,165Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,165Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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