Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 13 giugno?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F o inferiore <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,893 Vol.
$39,893 Vol.
79°F o inferiore
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Sì
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F o superiore
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F o inferiore <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,893 Vol.
$39,893 Vol.
79°F o inferiore
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Sì
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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