Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Houston on May 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 Vol.
$62,169 Vol.
7 mag 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 Vol.
$62,169 Vol.
7 mag 2026
63°F or below
$6,056 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$5,521 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$2,050 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,024 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$5,752 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$6,042 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,774 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,180 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$9,162 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$6,367 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$9,243 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$62,169Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,169Data di fine
7 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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