Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Weather25 indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Istanbul on June 22 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-June climatology of 26–28°C highs, though model consensus shows modest spread due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and potential weak sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that could cap peaks near 25–26°C. Trader sentiment clustering around the 25°C (35.5%) and 26°C (30%) brackets reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C+ outcomes amid historical precedent for occasional moderation by maritime air. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance on June 21 will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 22?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$56,874 Vol.
$56,874 Vol.
22 giu 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$56,874 Vol.
$56,874 Vol.
22 giu 2026
21°C or below
$1,554 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,148 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,276 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,505 Vol.
No
25°C
$11,820 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,239 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$4,912 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,359 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,031 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,235 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$795 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Weather25 indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Istanbul on June 22 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-June climatology of 26–28°C highs, though model consensus shows modest spread due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and potential weak sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that could cap peaks near 25–26°C. Trader sentiment clustering around the 25°C (35.5%) and 26°C (30%) brackets reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C+ outcomes amid historical precedent for occasional moderation by maritime air. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance on June 21 will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$56,874Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Weather25 indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Istanbul on June 22 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-June climatology of 26–28°C highs, though model consensus shows modest spread due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and potential weak sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that could cap peaks near 25–26°C. Trader sentiment clustering around the 25°C (35.5%) and 26°C (30%) brackets reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C+ outcomes amid historical precedent for occasional moderation by maritime air. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance on June 21 will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,874Data di fine
22 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 20, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and Weather25 indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C (roughly 81–83°F) for Istanbul on June 22 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-June climatology of 26–28°C highs, though model consensus shows modest spread due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and potential weak sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea that could cap peaks near 25–26°C. Trader sentiment clustering around the 25°C (35.5%) and 26°C (30%) brackets reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C+ outcomes amid historical precedent for occasional moderation by maritime air. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance on June 21 will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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