Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 2 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 2 luglio?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$151,193 Vol.
$151,193 Vol.
2 lug 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$151,193 Vol.
$151,193 Vol.
2 lug 2026
20°C or below
$2,705 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,334 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,201 Vol.
No
23°C
$15,081 Vol.
No
24°C
$17,538 Vol.
No
25°C
$26,515 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$22,937 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,335 Vol.
No
28°C
$18,891 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,734 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,921 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$151,193Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$151,193Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent Met Office forecasts position a 26°C maximum as the most probable outcome for London on July 2, with ensemble models showing strong consensus around this value amid a gradual warming trend following recent near-average conditions. Light winds and building high pressure favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures, while urban heat island effects in central areas could support readings near or slightly above the official central London figure. The secondary 27°C outcome reflects residual model spread and potential for localized peaks, though probabilities decline sharply beyond that due to limited intensification signals in current guidance. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical July baselines near 23°C, noting that any late adjustments in ECMWF or UKMO runs could shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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