The market's 100% implied probability for a 70–71°F high on June 1 at Los Angeles International Airport reflects the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum temperature. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed afternoon heating near the seasonal normal of about 70°F, consistent with typical early-June “June gloom” patterns along the coast. No significant warm-air advection or offshore winds developed to push readings higher, aligning with National Weather Service short-range guidance and coastal observations through the period. While measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies remain theoretically possible, the finalized daily summary leaves no realistic pathway for reclassification outside this narrow bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 1?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$50,386 Vol.
$50,386 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$50,386 Vol.
$50,386 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market's 100% implied probability for a 70–71°F high on June 1 at Los Angeles International Airport reflects the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum temperature. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed afternoon heating near the seasonal normal of about 70°F, consistent with typical early-June “June gloom” patterns along the coast. No significant warm-air advection or offshore winds developed to push readings higher, aligning with National Weather Service short-range guidance and coastal observations through the period. While measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies remain theoretically possible, the finalized daily summary leaves no realistic pathway for reclassification outside this narrow bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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