National Weather Service forecasts and regional model runs for downtown Los Angeles on June 12, 2026, consistently projected a daytime high of 72–74°F under moderating marine-layer influence and typical early-June coastal cooling. This consensus, supported by observed sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow patterns, drove trader confidence that the official reading would fall squarely in the 72–73°F bin, producing the market’s 100% implied probability. An unexpected breakdown of the marine layer, stronger offshore winds, or a late model shift could have pushed readings into the mid-70s, but no such developments materialized before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 12 giugno?
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F o meno <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$65,896 Vol.
$65,896 Vol.
69°F o meno
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Sì
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o superiore
No
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F o meno <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$65,896 Vol.
$65,896 Vol.
69°F o meno
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Sì
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service forecasts and regional model runs for downtown Los Angeles on June 12, 2026, consistently projected a daytime high of 72–74°F under moderating marine-layer influence and typical early-June coastal cooling. This consensus, supported by observed sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow patterns, drove trader confidence that the official reading would fall squarely in the 72–73°F bin, producing the market’s 100% implied probability. An unexpected breakdown of the marine layer, stronger offshore winds, or a late model shift could have pushed readings into the mid-70s, but no such developments materialized before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti